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United States🏛️ Politics📡 Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026

Who Will Lead United States? Prediction Market Odds (2026)

As of November 3, 2026, “JD Vance” leads Who Will Lead United States? Prediction Market Odds with 18%. “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez” is second and “Gavin Newsom” third.

🚫 No paid placement📡 Source: Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026 ⓘ How we measure

Full ranking

1
JD Vance ↗ •🏆 Leader
Presidential Election Winner 2028
18%Probability
2
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ↗ •
Presidential Election Winner 2028
12%Probability
3
Gavin Newsom ↗ •
Presidential Election Winner 2028
12%Probability
4
Jon Ossoff ↗ •
Presidential Election Winner 2028
11%Probability
5
Marco Rubio ↗ •
Presidential Election Winner 2028
9%Probability
6
Kamala Harris ↗ •
Presidential Election Winner 2028
4%Probability
7
Pete Buttigieg ↗ •
Presidential Election Winner 2028
3%Probability
8
Josh Shapiro ↗ •
Presidential Election Winner 2028
3%Probability
9
James Talarico ↗ •
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2%Probability
10
Ron DeSantis ↗ •
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2%Probability

How this ranking works

The leading leadership market for this country on Polymarket, ranked by the probability traders assign to each candidate. Odds implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

Methodology →

SourcePolymarket
SignalProbability
Last updatedNov 3, 2026, 9:19 AM UTC
Top 10Chance each candidate leads the country next

How other countries compare

Frequently asked questions

What is #1 in Who Will Lead United States? Prediction Market Odds?

As of November 3, 2026, #1 is “JD Vance”.

How is this ranking measured?

The leading leadership market for this country on Polymarket, ranked by the probability traders assign to each candidate. Odds implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

How often is this chart updated?

Data is re-collected automatically and every page shows its last update date.

Can a brand pay to appear in this ranking?

No. There are no paid placements and no commercial influence on rank.

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