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United Kingdom🏛️ Politics📡 Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026

Who Will Lead United Kingdom? Prediction Market Odds (2026)

As of November 3, 2026, “Defence” leads Who Will Lead United Kingdom? Prediction Market Odds with 68%. “Mr Speaker 30+ times” is second and “Scotland” third. Biggest climber: “Wales” (▲1).

🚫 No paid placement📡 Source: Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026 ⓘ How we measure
Highlights: 🚀 Rising fastest: Wales📉 Falling fastest: Reform

Full ranking

1
Defence ↗ •🏆 Leader
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
68%Probability
2
Mr Speaker 30+ times ↗ •
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
61%Probability
3
Scotland ↗ •
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
59%Probability
4
Wales ↗ ▲1🚀 Rising fastest
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
54%Probability
5
Reform ↗ ▼1📉 Falling fastest
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
52%Probability
6
Immigration ↗ •
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
36%Probability
7
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times ↗ •
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
28%Probability
8
Trump ↗ •
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
28%Probability
9
NHS ↗ •
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
22%Probability
10
-No Qualifying Event- ↗ •
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
3%Probability

How this ranking works

The leading leadership market for this country on Polymarket, ranked by the probability traders assign to each candidate. Odds implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

Methodology →

SourcePolymarket
SignalProbability
Last updatedNov 3, 2026, 9:19 AM UTC
Top 10Chance each candidate leads the country next

How other countries compare

Frequently asked questions

What is #1 in Who Will Lead United Kingdom? Prediction Market Odds?

As of November 3, 2026, #1 is “Defence”.

How is this ranking measured?

The leading leadership market for this country on Polymarket, ranked by the probability traders assign to each candidate. Odds implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

How often is this chart updated?

Data is re-collected automatically and every page shows its last update date.

Can a brand pay to appear in this ranking?

No. There are no paid placements and no commercial influence on rank.

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