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Mexico🏛️ Politics📡 Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026

Who Will Lead Mexico? Prediction Market Odds (2026)

As of November 3, 2026, “Audias Flores-Silva” leads Who Will Lead Mexico? Prediction Market Odds with 100%. “Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan” is second and “Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar” third.

🚫 No paid placement📡 Source: Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026 ⓘ How we measure

Full ranking

1
Audias Flores-Silva ↗ •🏆 Leader
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
100%Probability
2
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan ↗ •
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
42%Probability
3
Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar ↗ •
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
17%Probability
4
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco ↗ •
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
15%Probability
5
Iván Mordisco ↗ •
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
15%Probability
6
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar ↗ •
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
12%Probability
7
Juan Pablo Ledezma ↗ •
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
12%Probability
8
Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez ↗ •
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
11%Probability
9
Juan Reyes Mejía González ↗ •
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
11%Probability

How this ranking works

The leading leadership market for this country on Polymarket, ranked by the probability traders assign to each candidate. Odds implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

Methodology →

SourcePolymarket
SignalProbability
Last updatedNov 3, 2026, 8:01 AM UTC
Top 10Chance each candidate leads the country next

How other countries compare

Frequently asked questions

What is #1 in Who Will Lead Mexico? Prediction Market Odds?

As of November 3, 2026, #1 is “Audias Flores-Silva”.

How is this ranking measured?

The leading leadership market for this country on Polymarket, ranked by the probability traders assign to each candidate. Odds implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

How often is this chart updated?

Data is re-collected automatically and every page shows its last update date.

Can a brand pay to appear in this ranking?

No. There are no paid placements and no commercial influence on rank.

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