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France🏛️ Politics📡 Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026

Who Will Lead France? Prediction Market Odds (2026)

As of November 3, 2026, “Marine Le Pen” leads Who Will Lead France? Prediction Market Odds with 40%. “David Lisnard” is second and “Édouard Philippe” third.

🚫 No paid placement📡 Source: Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026 ⓘ How we measure

Full ranking

1
Marine Le Pen ↗ •🏆 Leader
Next French Presidential Election
40%Probability
2
David Lisnard ↗ •
Next French Presidential Election
16%Probability
3
Édouard Philippe ↗ •
Next French Presidential Election
12%Probability
4
Jean-Luc Mélenchon ↗ •
Next French Presidential Election
12%Probability
5
Christine Lagarde ↗ •
Next French Presidential Election
7%Probability
6
Raphaël Glucksmann ↗ •
Next French Presidential Election
3%Probability
7
François Baroin ↗ •
Next French Presidential Election
2%Probability
8
François Hollande ↗ •
Next French Presidential Election
2%Probability
9
Jordan Bardella ↗ •
Next French Presidential Election
2%Probability
10
Dominique de Villepin ↗ •
Next French Presidential Election
1%Probability

How this ranking works

The leading leadership market for this country on Polymarket, ranked by the probability traders assign to each candidate. Odds implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

Methodology →

SourcePolymarket
SignalProbability
Last updatedNov 3, 2026, 9:19 AM UTC
Top 10Chance each candidate leads the country next

How other countries compare

Frequently asked questions

What is #1 in Who Will Lead France? Prediction Market Odds?

As of November 3, 2026, #1 is “Marine Le Pen”.

How is this ranking measured?

The leading leadership market for this country on Polymarket, ranked by the probability traders assign to each candidate. Odds implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

How often is this chart updated?

Data is re-collected automatically and every page shows its last update date.

Can a brand pay to appear in this ranking?

No. There are no paid placements and no commercial influence on rank.

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