United States🔮 Prediction Markets📡 Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026

Biggest Betting Odds Shifts About United States Today (2026)

Q: What is #1 in Biggest Betting Odds Shifts About United States Today?

As of November 3, 2026, #1 is “Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?: Louisiana”.

Q: How is this ranking measured?

Markets linked to this country ranked by the absolute change in probability over the last 24 hours (percentage points), among markets with meaningful trading volume. Odds implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

Q: How often is this chart updated?

Data is re-collected automatically and every page shows its last update date.

Q: Can a brand pay to appear in this ranking?

No. There are no paid placements and no commercial influence on rank.

As of November 3, 2026, “Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?: Louisiana” leads Biggest Betting Odds Shifts About United States Today with −41.0 pts. “Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?: Illinois” is second and “Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027?: Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken” third.

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🚫 No paid placement📡 Source: Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026 ⓘ How we measure

Highlights: 📉 Falling fastest: Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate: Lula, Netanyahu, Dems

Full ranking

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?: Louisiana ↗ •🏆 Leader

Now 56% (was 97%)

−41.0 ptsChange (pts)

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?: Illinois ↗ NEW

Now 8% (was 28%)

−20.1 ptsChange (pts)

Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027?: Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken ↗ ▼1

Now 71% (was 53%)

+17.1 ptsChange (pts)

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?: <22 ↗ NEW

Now 59% (was 41%)

+17.0 ptsChange (pts)

Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027?: Dem sweep; Ceasefire holds ↗ ▼1

Now 3% (was 16%)

−13.3 ptsChange (pts)

Dem sweep & Democrat wins 2028 presidency?: Dem sweep; Dem wins 2028 ↗ NEW

Now 55% (was 43%)

+12.4 ptsChange (pts)

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?: 4 ↗ ▼2

Now 36% (was 24%)

+12.0 ptsChange (pts)

Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate: Lula, Netanyahu, Dems ↗ ▼5📉 Falling fastest

Now 28% (was 16%)

+11.6 ptsChange (pts)

USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?: November 30 ↗ NEW

Now 43% (was 32%)

+10.5 ptsChange (pts)

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?: 24–25 ↗ NEW

Now 8% (was 18%)

−10.0 ptsChange (pts)

How this ranking works

Markets linked to this country ranked by the absolute change in probability over the last 24 hours (percentage points), among markets with meaningful trading volume. Odds implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

Methodology →

SourcePolymarket

SignalChange (pts)

Last updatedNov 3, 2026, 9:19 AM UTC

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