Mexico🔮 Prediction Markets📡 Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026

Biggest Betting Odds Shifts About Mexico Today (2026)

As of November 3, 2026, “Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?: December 31” leads Biggest Betting Odds Shifts About Mexico Today with −23.0 pts. “Sinaloa Congress Election Winner: Morena” is second and “Michoacán Congress Election Winner: Morena” third. Biggest climber: “Sinaloa Congress Election Winner: Morena” (▲3).

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🚫 No paid placement📡 Source: Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026 ⓘ How we measure

Highlights: ⚔️ Neck and neck: Sinaloa Congress Election Winner: Morena🚀 Rising fastest: Sinaloa Congress Election Winner: Morena📉 Falling fastest: Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?: Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan

Full ranking

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?: December 31 ↗ NEW🏆 Leader

Now 27% (was 50%)

−23.0 ptsChange (pts)

Sinaloa Congress Election Winner: Morena ↗ ▲3⚔️ Neck and neck🚀 Rising fastest

Now 79% (was 56%)

+22.5 ptsChange (pts)

Michoacán Congress Election Winner: Morena ↗ ▲1

Now 76% (was 61%)

+15.0 ptsChange (pts)

Querétaro Governor Election Winner: Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera ↗ NEW

Now 72% (was 57%)

+14.5 ptsChange (pts)

Aguascalientes Congress Election Winner: Morena ↗ ▲1

Now 14% (was 24%)

−10.0 ptsChange (pts)

Zacatecas Congress Election Winner: Morena ↗ NEW

Now 81% (was 71%)

+10.0 ptsChange (pts)

Colima Congress Election Winner: Morena ↗ NEW

Now 75% (was 66%)

+9.5 ptsChange (pts)

Tlaxcala Congress Election Winner: Morena ↗ •

Now 72% (was 63%)

+9.5 ptsChange (pts)

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?: Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan ↗ ▼8📉 Falling fastest

Now 42% (was 33%)

+9.2 ptsChange (pts)

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?: Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar ↗ •

Now 17% (was 25%)

−8.5 ptsChange (pts)

How this ranking works

Markets linked to this country ranked by the absolute change in probability over the last 24 hours (percentage points), among markets with meaningful trading volume. Odds implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

Methodology →

SourcePolymarket

SignalChange (pts)

Last updatedNov 3, 2026, 9:19 AM UTC

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