United States🏛️ Politics📡 Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026US Midterms 2026: Expected Voter Turnout by State (2026)
As of November 3, 2026, “Texas” leads US Midterms 2026: Expected Voter Turnout by State with ≈ 10.24M. “Florida” is second and “Michigan” third. Biggest climber: “Virginia” (▲1).
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How this ranking works
Expected votes cast in each state’s Senate race, calculated from the probabilities traders assign to turnout ranges on Polymarket. An estimate of traders’ expectations, not an official forecast.
Frequently asked questions
What is #1 in US Midterms 2026: Expected Voter Turnout by State?
As of November 3, 2026, #1 is “Texas”.
How is this ranking measured?
Expected votes cast in each state’s Senate race, calculated from the probabilities traders assign to turnout ranges on Polymarket. An estimate of traders’ expectations, not an official forecast.
How often is this chart updated?
Data is re-collected automatically and every page shows its last update date.
Can a brand pay to appear in this ranking?
No. There are no paid placements and no commercial influence on rank.
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