EnglishעבריתEspañol
United States🏛️ Politics📡 Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026

US Midterms 2026: Closest Senate Races (2026)

As of November 3, 2026, “Iowa” leads US Midterms 2026: Closest Senate Races with 53% – 48%. “Kansas” is second and “Nebraska” third. Biggest climber: “Nebraska” (▲1).

🚫 No paid placement📡 Source: Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026 ⓘ How we measure
Highlights: 🚀 Rising fastest: Nebraska📉 Falling fastest: South Carolina

Full ranking

1
Iowa ↗ •🏆 Leader
Josh Turek (D) 53% · Ashley Hinson (R) 48%
53% – 48%Odds
2
Kansas ↗ •
Adam Hamilton (D) 62% · Roger Marshall (R) 38%
62% – 38%Odds
3
Nebraska ↗ ▲1🚀 Rising fastest
Pete Ricketts (R) 69% · Independent 32%
69% – 32%Odds
4
South Carolina ↗ ▼1📉 Falling fastest
Darline Graham Nordone (R) 70% · Annie Andrews (D) 31%
70% – 31%Odds
5
Ohio ↗ •
Sherrod Brown (D) 72% · Jon Husted (R) 28%
72% – 28%Odds
6
Alaska ↗ •
Mary Peltola 72% · Sen. Dan Sullivan 28%
72% – 28%Odds
7
Maine ↗ •
Troy Jackson (D) 74% · Susan Collins (R) 27%
74% – 27%Odds
8
Texas ↗ •
James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26%
75% – 26%Odds
9
Michigan ↗ •
Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20%
81% – 20%Odds
10
Mississippi ↗ •
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 87% · Scott Colom (D) 14%
87% – 14%Odds

How this ranking works

Senate races ranked by how close the odds of the two leading candidates are. Probabilities implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

Methodology →

SourcePolymarket
SignalOdds
Last updatedNov 3, 2026, 8:01 AM UTC
Top 10Races where the two leading candidates are closest in the odds

Frequently asked questions

What is #1 in US Midterms 2026: Closest Senate Races?

As of November 3, 2026, #1 is “Iowa”.

How is this ranking measured?

Senate races ranked by how close the odds of the two leading candidates are. Probabilities implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

How often is this chart updated?

Data is re-collected automatically and every page shows its last update date.

Can a brand pay to appear in this ranking?

No. There are no paid placements and no commercial influence on rank.

More rankings for you