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United States🏛️ Politics📡 Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026

US Midterms 2026: Closest Governor Races (2026)

As of November 3, 2026, “Texas” leads US Midterms 2026: Closest Governor Races with 62% – 39%. “Florida” is second and “Kansas” third.

🚫 No paid placement📡 Source: Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026 ⓘ How we measure
Highlights: ⚔️ Neck and neck: Florida

Full ranking

1
Texas ↗ •🏆 Leader
Greg Abbott (R) 62% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 39%
62% – 39%Odds
2
Florida ↗ •⚔️ Neck and neck
Byron Donalds (R) 64% · David Jolly (D) 36%
64% – 36%Odds
3
Kansas ↗ •
Ty Masterson (R) 66% · Cindy Holscher (D) 36%
66% – 36%Odds
4
Vermont ↗ •
Phil Scott (R) 69% · Amanda Janoo (D) 31%
69% – 31%Odds
5
Georgia ↗ •
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) 73% · Rick Jackson (R) 26%
73% – 26%Odds
6
Nevada ↗ •
Aaron Ford (D) 76% · Joe Lombardo (R) 25%
76% – 25%Odds
7
Ohio ↗ •
Amy Acton (D) 84% · Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 17%
84% – 17%Odds
8
Oregon ↗ •
Tina Kotek (D) 84% · Christine Drazan (R) 16%
84% – 16%Odds
9
New Hampshire ↗ •
Kelly Ayotte (R) 85% · Cinde Warmington (D) 14%
85% – 14%Odds
10
Wisconsin ↗ •
David Crowley (D) 86% · Tom Tiffany (R) 12%
86% – 12%Odds

How this ranking works

Governor races ranked by how close the odds of the two leading candidates are. Probabilities implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

Methodology →

SourcePolymarket
SignalOdds
Last updatedNov 3, 2026, 8:01 AM UTC
Top 10Races where the two leading candidates are closest in the odds

Frequently asked questions

What is #1 in US Midterms 2026: Closest Governor Races?

As of November 3, 2026, #1 is “Texas”.

How is this ranking measured?

Governor races ranked by how close the odds of the two leading candidates are. Probabilities implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

How often is this chart updated?

Data is re-collected automatically and every page shows its last update date.

Can a brand pay to appear in this ranking?

No. There are no paid placements and no commercial influence on rank.

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