Germany🔮 Prediction Markets📡 Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026

Most Traded Prediction Market Bets About Germany Right Now (2026)

As of November 3, 2026, “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?” leads Most Traded Prediction Market Bets About Germany Right Now with $15K / 24h. “Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?” is second and “Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?” third.

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🚫 No paid placement📡 Source: Polymarket🕒 Updated November 3, 2026 ⓘ How we measure

Full ranking

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...? ↗ •🏆 Leader

December 31, 2027: 38%

$15K / 24h24h volume

Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? ↗ •

AfD: 73%

$1K / 24h24h volume

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt? ↗ •

Ulrich Siegmund: 73%

$1K / 24h24h volume

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government? ↗ •

SPD: 60%

$1K / 24h24h volume

EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026? ↗ •

31M+: 85%

$791 / 24h24h volume

Next President of Germany? ↗ •

Ilse Aigner: 62%

$759 / 24h24h volume

EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026? ↗ •

30M+: 96%

$691 / 24h24h volume

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028? ↗ •

No Next Chancellor before 2028: 68%

$371 / 24h24h volume

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? ↗ •

Grüne: 96%

$220 / 24h24h volume

Next Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? ↗ •

Manuela Schwesig: 94%

$212 / 24h24h volume

How this ranking works

Prediction-market events linked to this country, ranked by 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket, with the leading outcome. Odds implied by trading on the Polymarket prediction market. They reflect what traders are betting, not polls and not our forecast. For information only.

Methodology →

SourcePolymarket

Signal24h volume

Last updatedNov 3, 2026, 8:01 AM UTC

Top 10Ranked by trading volume in the last 24 hours