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🌍 Worldwide🏛️ Politics📡 Polymarket🕒 Updated November 2, 2026

Geopolitics: Most Traded Prediction Markets (2026)

As of November 2, 2026, “Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?” leads Geopolitics: Most Traded Prediction Markets with $1.1M / 24h. “US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?” is second and “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?” third. Biggest climber: “US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?” (▲1).

🚫 No paid placement📡 Source: Polymarket🕒 Updated November 2, 2026 ⓘ How we measure
Highlights: 🚀 Rising fastest: US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?📉 Falling fastest: US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

Full ranking

1
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? ↗ •🏆 Leader
Gadi Eizenkot: 42%
$1.1M / 24h24h volume
2
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? ↗ ▲1🚀 Rising fastest
September 20: 100%
$782308 / 24h24h volume
3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? ↗ ▼1
July 18: 100%
$703676 / 24h24h volume
4
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? ↗ •
March 31: 67%
$552777 / 24h24h volume
5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗
Yes: 18%
$500203 / 24h24h volume
6
Putin out as President of Russia by...? ↗ •
June 30, 2027: 10%
$239613 / 24h24h volume
7
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government? ↗
Gadi Eizenkot: 93%
$128041 / 24h24h volume
8
Who will Trump speak to by November 30? ↗ ▼1
Xi Jinping: 95%
$120463 / 24h24h volume
9
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? ↗ ▼4📉 Falling fastest
December 31: 35%
$85552 / 24h24h volume
10
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...? ↗
December 31, 2026: 42%
$84739 / 24h24h volume

How this ranking works

Ranked by 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket. The percentage shown is the market’s current implied probability for the leading outcome. It reflects what traders are betting, not a guaranteed forecast.

Methodology →

SourcePolymarket
Signal24h volume
Last updatedNov 2, 2026, 4:27 PM UTC
Top 10World events by 24h volume

Frequently asked questions

What is #1 in Geopolitics: Most Traded Prediction Markets?

As of November 2, 2026, #1 is “Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?”.

How is this ranking measured?

Ranked by 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket. The percentage shown is the market’s current implied probability for the leading outcome. It reflects what traders are betting, not a guaranteed forecast.

How often is this chart updated?

Data is re-collected automatically and every page shows its last update date.

Can a brand pay to appear in this ranking?

No. There are no paid placements and no commercial influence on rank.

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