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🌍 Worldwide🔮 Prediction Markets📡 Polymarket🕒 Updated November 2, 2026

Economy Prediction Markets: Most Traded (2026)

As of November 2, 2026, “Fed Decision in December?” leads Economy Prediction Markets: Most Traded with $177049 / 24h. “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?” is second and “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?” third. Biggest climber: “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?” (▲1).

🚫 No paid placement📡 Source: Polymarket🕒 Updated November 2, 2026 ⓘ How we measure
Highlights: 🚀 Rising fastest: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?📉 Falling fastest: How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Full ranking

1
Fed Decision in December? ↗ •🏆 Leader
25 bps increase: 73%
$177049 / 24h24h volume
2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ↗ ▲1🚀 Rising fastest
Yes: 12%
$42002 / 24h24h volume
3
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? ↗ ▼1📉 Falling fastest
0 (0 bps): 97%
$40223 / 24h24h volume
4
US imposes new sanctions on China by...? ↗ •
October 31, 2026: 100%
$39676 / 24h24h volume
5
Fed Decision in January? ↗ ▲1
No change: 70%
$33517 / 24h24h volume
6
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? ↗ ▼1
Yes: 72%
$28229 / 24h24h volume
7
Bank of Mexico Decision in November? ↗
No change: 86%
$26226 / 24h24h volume
8
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November ↗ •
25 bps increase: 88%
$24665 / 24h24h volume
9
ISM Manufacturing PMI - October 2026 ↗
55.0 to 55.9: 100%
$16509 / 24h24h volume
10
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? ↗
Below 4.70%: 92%
$16029 / 24h24h volume

How this ranking works

Ranked by 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket. The percentage shown is the market’s current implied probability for the leading outcome. It reflects what traders are betting, not a guaranteed forecast.

Methodology →

SourcePolymarket
Signal24h volume
Last updatedNov 2, 2026, 4:27 PM UTC
Top 10Economy bets by 24h volume

Frequently asked questions

What is #1 in Economy Prediction Markets: Most Traded?

As of November 2, 2026, #1 is “Fed Decision in December?”.

How is this ranking measured?

Ranked by 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket. The percentage shown is the market’s current implied probability for the leading outcome. It reflects what traders are betting, not a guaranteed forecast.

How often is this chart updated?

Data is re-collected automatically and every page shows its last update date.

Can a brand pay to appear in this ranking?

No. There are no paid placements and no commercial influence on rank.

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